Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 35.029675 41.536687 48.706017 57.162471 66.834209 77.519737 90.186623
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 26.178929 34.957876 45.597092 59.311778 76.380821 96.774764 122.817963
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 20.469116 30.042478 42.541399 59.778490 82.615548 111.486201 150.340713
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 15.899787 25.398929 38.643889 58.005649 85.048782 120.873996 171.193236
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.156400 22.651114 36.671544 58.214086 89.667650 132.977484 195.964868
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.238670 20.721304 35.468685 59.153275 95.101072 146.276073 222.943095
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.656400 17.219644 31.314708 55.055893 92.601124 147.946263 233.445696
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.661250 16.201552 30.908235 56.621335 98.596574 162.140653 262.610882
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.485042 14.629167 29.330647 56.041022 101.074414 171.098129 284.406588
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.128288 14.540427 30.289963 59.756624 110.663672 191.423757 324.373685
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.907840 12.491513 27.420409 56.486578 108.372798 192.911052 335.279086
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.439452 11.928850 27.247879 57.982382 114.201698 207.621807 367.590175
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.044468 11.544547 27.547536 60.722062 123.023637 228.756936 413.047050
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.638474 11.067193 27.629786 63.137253 131.628035 250.361281 461.013786
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.134131 10.223350 26.801530 63.645392 136.758739 266.368383 500.616463
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.548342 9.003494 24.932432 61.777039 137.203026 274.198597 526.795138
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.189732 8.305274 24.123568 61.997093 141.616768 289.230915 566.017170
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.925542 7.807920 23.703722 62.987808 147.590684 307.376115 611.529515
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.459820 6.519577 21.070686 58.664756 142.382626 304.572046 619.710993
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.313954 6.251450 21.032912 60.316714 149.659031 325.516313 671.595571
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.107078 5.691739 20.099530 59.704373 152.048952 337.240207 707.158828
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.069981 5.768450 20.973856 63.624182 164.552113 369.199502 781.577196
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.829014 4.929719 19.018074 60.174524 160.483958 368.366496 794.558124